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Sunday, March 23, 2014

Taking More of Ukraine?

Why Eastern Ukraine Will Not Follow Crimea to Moscow (Sabra Ayres) from the Christian Science Monitor
"The gravitational pull of Russia is being challenged amid generational change and a renewed sense that Ukraine is home."
Yeah?  We'll see.  I'm still betting that Putin is after all of Ukraine, not just the Crimea or just the eastern region of Ukraine.  In the world of long-term geo-strategic thinking, Russia (as back in the old Soviet days) insisted on having buffer states between Russia proper and European states and alliances.  If Ukraine solidifies its ties with Europe (which it has been doing this week) it runs against this central tenant.  If I were Putin, I would view this as my big chance to make sure Russia keeps some buffer zones in place.

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