Insiders See Democratic House Gains of 30-45 seats from Roll Call
"Seven and a half months before the midterm elections, the combination of attitudinal and behavioral evidence leads to a single conclusion: The Democrats are very likely to win control of the House in November. Just as important, Republican and Democratic campaign strategists also agree that an electoral wave has already formed. The attitudinal evidence begins with national polling."
I think this analysis is VERY CONSERVATIVE! If Dems do as well in November as they have done on average in the special elections from last year and this year, the GOP actually has close to 110 House seats in danger. Now -- I think there is no way the Dems will get anything close to 110. I am predicting more like a 65-70 seat pickup. No one else is predicting this. You heard it here first. One caveat: I fully expect Russian hackers will be targeting election outcomes by finding ways to actually alter vote totals. If this happens on anything like a meaningful scale, all bets are off.
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