Monday, October 29, 2012

News Nuggets 1093

DAYLEE PICTURE: A lion in the grass as a storm rages in the distance in the Kalahari.  From the Atlantic.

Advantage Obama in Hunt for 270 Electoral Votes (Thomas Beaumont) from the Associated Press via Yahoo News
"President Barack Obama is poised to eke out a victory in the race for the 270 electoral votes needed to win re-election, having beaten back Republican Mitt Romney's attempts to convert momentum from the debates into support in all-important Ohio, according to an Associated Press analysis a week before Election Day."

How President Obama Will Handle Hurricane Sandy (James Warren) from the Daily Beast
"Top aides say the storm comes first, the campaign second. Even Romney fans admit the hurricane presents a great opportunity for the president to assert command."

Hurricane Sandy Is a Nasty October Surprise for Mitt Romney (Howard Kurtz) from the Daily Beast
"Romney was on a roll until Hurricane Sandy upended the campaign. Howard Kurtz on why the storm hurts him far more than the president."

Romney is Captive to the Far Right : The GOP has Become a Party of Extreme Views (Sean Wilentz) from the New York Daily News
"The 2012 presidential campaign may seem like it’s all about the economy, but it’s really being driven by the chief political development of the last 30 years: the Republican Party’s movement further to the ideological right."

The GOP's Geography And The Confederacy (Andrew Sullivan) from the Daily Beast
"I think America is currently in a Cold Civil War. The parties, of course, have switched sides since the 1964 Civil Rights Act. The party of the Union and Lincoln is now the Democratic party. The party of the Confederacy is now the GOP."

Democrats Hold Early-Voting Advantage Over Republicans (John McCormick) from the Bloomberg News Service
"In two of the most competitive states in the U.S. presidential race -- Iowa and Nevada -- Democrats are building a significant advantage in early voting. Who has the edge is more muddled in the bigger swing states of Ohio and Florida, while Republicans have a narrow lead in Colorado. Early, in-person voting started in Florida over the weekend, and dozens of Democrats in Tallahassee marched five blocks from a church to an early-voting site yesterday, chanting “Vote early.”"

People Who Can't Do Math Are So Mad At Nate Silver from the Atlantic 
"The New York Times' Nate Silver has created a model to predict the outcome of the presidential election that's watched by just about every pundit, and yet Silver's model refuses to perfectly reflect the
conventional wisdom spouted by just about every pundit. The pundits do not like this!"

Battleground Tracking Poll: President Obama Retakes Lead from Politico 
"With eight days to go until the election, President Barack Obama has recaptured a narrow national lead over Mitt Romney, riding increased support from women and an edge in early voting."

Elections Polling Wrap: Obama with Strong Day in the Swing States to Close Out the Week from Daily Kos
"Friday-lite is somewhat of a thing of the past, as we get 43 polls to close out the week, and clear conclusions remain elusive, though the clear message from Friday's data is that you'd much rather be the president than his opponent."

In Polls, Romney’s Momentum Seems to Have Stopped (Nate Silver) from the New York Times
"Mr. Romney clearly gained ground in the polls in the week or two after the Denver debate, putting himself in a much stronger overall position in the race. However, it seems that he is no longer doing so."

TIME Poll: Obama Leads by 5 in Ohio (Alex Altman) from Time Magazine 
"Obama has clearly received a boost from Ohio’s early voting period, which began on Oct. 2 and runs through November 5. Among respondents who say they have already voted, Obama holds a two-to-one lead over Romney, 60% to 30%."

Cell Phones: Why We Think Obama Will Win the Popular Vote, Too from Democracy Corps
"...we want to share why we think the national tracking averages likely underrepresent Obama’s vote.  The main issue is cell phones and the changing America that most are under-representing."

Inside Romney World (Mark Halperin) from Time Magazine
""The Romney high command did a Thursday afternoon conference call with some of their biggest donors and bundlers from around the country, urging them to push hard for the next week to bring in more dough." "According to a source familiar with the call, Romney national finance chair Spencer Zwick and pollster Neil Newhouse gave the group a briefing on the state of the race and pressed them to raise more more more in the next week. Newhouse told the group that the battleground states are within 2-3 points in their data and they need more money for additional last-minute
television ads, direct mail, and other forms of voter contact.""

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