Tuesday, November 6, 2012

News Nuggets 1099

DAYLEE PICTURE: A close-up of a polar bear in Hudson Bay near Churchill Island.  From the Daily Mail of the UK.

China's Economic Destiny in Doubt After Leadership Shock from the Daily Telegraph [of the UK]
"The forces of reaction and economic folly threaten to prevail in China. The long political arm of Jiang Zemin has reached out from the shadows to thwart reform, with huge implications for Asia and the world."

IMF Warning Adds to French Economy Fears (Hugh Carnegy) from the Financial Times [of the UK]
"France risks falling behind crisis-hit Italy and Spain if it does not reform its economy, the International Monetary Fund has warned, adding to pressure on President François Hollande to stem the country’s industrial decline."

Sandy Versus Katrina (Paul Krugman) from the New York Times
"Sorry, guys: polls show overwhelming approval for Mr. Obama’s handling of the storm, and a significant rise in his overall favorability ratings. And he deserves the bump."

Obama is Good for Israel from the Editorial Board of Al Haaretz [of Israel in English]
"The outcome of the elections will be determined by the voters' decision as to which of the two candidates is good for America. But if any of them are vacillating in their vote over over whether Obama has been a good president for Israel, the answer is yes."

Why Obama Is Better at Getting Out the Vote; Lots of Door-Knocking—and Years of Statistical Analysis (Sasha Issenberg) from Slate
"Darley-Emerson’s rounds—and those of hundreds of thousands of other canvassers and callers in the closing hours of the election—may look like the basic work of campaigns, the slog of door knocks and repetitive phone calls. But as is the case with much of Obama’s campaign, the dutiful fieldwork is undergirded by sophisticated analytics unmatched by his Republican opponents."

The Last Pew Poll: Obama Holds Edge On Eve Of Election from NPR's All Things Considered 
"... we continue to get a three-point 50 to 47 edge for Obama. And that would be our projection of the popular vote as best we can do it here two days before the election. ... We were exactly right in 2008. We were exactly right in 2004. And in terms of the popular vote for Congress, we were right in '06 and '10. So we have a pretty good record."

Projection: Obama Will Likely Win Second Term (Larry Sabato) from the University of Virginia Center for Politics
"With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature’s October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow. Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin and topping Mitt Romney, with 290 electoral votes."

Early Voting Chaos Ensues In Swing States from the Huffington Post 
"Despite the long lines, The Huffington Post's Jennifer Bendery reported, few voters, if any, left a two-hour long line in Cleveland out of discouragement. "If I die tomorrow, at least my vote counts today," one voter said."
As the GOP's suppression strategy directed at minorities becomes more transparently political, minorities across the country are treating it more and more as an old-style CIVIL RIGHTS issue!

Polls Suggest Undecideds Won’t Help Romney (If They Show Up) from Talking Points Memo
"The latest WSJ/NBC national poll puts Obama up over Romney by the narrowest margin, 48 percent to 47 percent. But it’s the poll’s breakdown of respondents who are either undecided or still willing to consider switching that stands out. According to NBC, the 9 percent of voters who fit the bill are overwhelmingly warmer to Obama."

Much of the Media Is Calling the Presidential Race for Barack Obama (Howard Kurtz) from the Daily Beast
"The press is heading into Election Day increasingly confident that the president will beat Romney. Howard Kurtz on the polling and the predictions—and what will happen if they’re wrong."

Why Mitt Romney Loss Would Yield Deeper Recriminations in GOP (Peter Beinart) from the Daily Beast
"If Obama loses, Democrats will not despair about the party, but a Romney loss would likely mean an ideological insurrection in the GOP, Republican backbiting about alienating Hispanics, and conservatives asserting they never loved Mitt anyway."

What It Feels Like to Lose a Presidential Election (David Freedlander) from the Daily Beast
"Someone will be unhappy on Wednesday. Presidential losers Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, and Bob Dole on getting over the sting of second—and advice for this year’s runner-up."

The Gilded Age vs. the 21st Century (E.J. Dionne) from the Washington Post 
"Romney may have flipped and flopped and flipped again on issues he didn’t care about, but his view of American capitalism and American government never wavered. If Teddy Roosevelt fought against the policies of the Gilded Age, Obama is fighting a Republican Party determined to bring the Gilded Age back and undo the achievements of a century."

More on the Money Dump (Josh Marshall) from Talking Points Memo
"I mentioned earlier today that there were lots of anecdotal reports about pro-GOP SuperPACs dumping money in places where there don’t seem to be seriously contested elections. Dallas, Chicago, just places where it’s really hard to figure there’s any real bang for the buck, to put it mildly. The overall take I had this morning still seems basically right to me — more money left than they have things to spend it on and you don’t want any left over on Wednesday, plus the people running the PACs usually bag nice commissions on the spends."

Final Senate Snapshot, and My Predictions (Markos Moulitsas) from Daily Kos
"If the numbers above determined the election, Democrats would lose the Democratic seat in Nebraska, while Democrats would pick up Indiana, Maine and Massachusetts for a net gain of two seats. That tie in North Dakota would give the GOP a chance to limit their losses to one seat. Losses. For the GOP. When they were defending 10 seats, and the Democrats 21."

The Obama Landslide Scenario (Steve Kornacki) from Salon
"Yes, he could still lose. But he could also end up with almost as many electoral votes as he won in his 2008 rout."

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